MACRO — C1-DRYRUN-TRUE-READINESS — Rollup — 2026-06-22

Macro: C1_DRYRUN_TRUE_READY_FOR_CODEX_REVIEW (survey all missing surfaces, create what is missing in C1 test/sandbox, prove true dry-run readiness — one controlled pass). VERDICT: C1_DRYRUN_HOLD_NO_GOVERNED_WRITE_CHANNEL (not forced) — macro outcome B (irreducible external-capability HOLD). Ready for dry-run: NO · Ready for Codex review: YES · Ready for production: NO. REGISTRATION_HOLD ACTIVE · REGISTRATION_CAN_PROCEED=NO · P2 / named lane CLOSED · 0 governed-DB / runtime mutations · NO subagents · DO NOT IMPLEMENT.

Disclosure: 1 non-governed docs-channel authoring write (write_file → /opt/incomex/docs/mcp-writes/…, 486 bytes, inert, reversible, disclosed). No governed table/contract/schema/runtime/production state was touched.

One-paragraph result

This macro did what prior ones did not: it probed every write route with an actual call rather than stopping at read-only. A fresh, exhaustive live survey (db directus, VPS contabo) built a complete 18-prerequisite gap map, then attempted to close every closable gap. Result: 0 of 14 blocking prerequisites are closable in this session. The governed Directus write channel DENIED both the C1 collection (governance_canonical_operation_vocab) and the DOT contract registry (dot_agent_api_contract) — "not in the write allowlist"; no sandbox schema/DB exists (schemas = public, iu_core); write_file succeeds but is docs-only; query_pg is read-only with no DDL; mcp__directus__ does item CRUD only with no DDL/collection/function creation; there is no command-exec/migration tool. Because creating a C1 executable contract requires DDL (CREATE TABLE + CREATE FUNCTION) and governed contract registration — neither available — the C1 dry-run is undispatchable. The internal Codex negative review (file 12) honored every attack on a false-READY (so READY is withheld) while every fail-open / overclaim / scope-drift / production-touch attack failed (so the stop is HOLD, not REJECT). Per macro §5/§6 this is the precise irreducible HOLD; the user was not asked, as instructed.

Live evidence ledger (read-only, this session)

E1 dispatcher raises_realrun/cannot_exec/never_writes=true · E2 C1 surface=0 (only generic table_registry + non-C1 preflight views) · E3 contracts=2 (DOT_KG pair), c1=0 · E4 catalog=54, only dot_iu_create_collection→IU records, no DDL primitive · E5 auth domain {draft,active,consumed,expired,revoked}, grants=0/leases=0/ownership=0 · E6 all runtime gates closed · E7 governed write DENIED for C1 collection AND contract registry · E8 no sandbox schema/DB · E9 write_file docs-only SUCCESS · E10 query_pg read-only, no DDL/exec tool, mcp__directus__ item-CRUD-only.

Full gap map outcome

18 prerequisites mapped; 14 blocking; 0 closable. Root cause (single, irreducible): no governed write/DDL channel + no isolated sandbox lane. Every downstream gap (contracts, wiring, manifest-registration, verifier, grant, preflight, dispatch, harness, evidence) inherits from it.

Files (15 in dir + this rollup = 16 documents)

…/reports/c1-dryrun-true-readiness/: index · 01 source+full-gap-map · 02 write-channel+sandbox survey · 03 contracts (absent/uncreatable) · 04 Directus/DOT/table_registry wiring · 05 manifest/resolver/hash (design-only) · 06 auth verifier+grant · 07 preflight (NOT READY) · 08 dispatchability (NOT dispatchable) · 09 bad-input (defined, not executable; no fail-open) · 10 rollback/clean-state (no state) · 11 before/after/readback (diff ∅) · 12 internal Codex review (HOLD upheld) · 13 final decision · codex-review-packet. Rollup: this file. All rev1; additive (pre-write C1-readiness surface=0); readback-verified.

Boundaries confirmed

No production mutation · no registration · no activation · no current-corpus adoption · no P2 opening · no C2–C7 build · no mega-registry/graph/birth pipeline · no unscoped/raw write · no raw SQL DDL/DML as authority path · Codex for final confirmation only.

NEXT

GPT → Codex confirmation of this live HOLD and of the next gate: a separately-authorized governed Gate-B build-prep registration capability (a write/DDL path that can create the C1 table + target functions and register the DOT_C1_* contract set, OR an isolated sandbox lane) and sovereign grant authority. Only after the C1 executable-contract surface EXISTS and is read-back-verifiable does a genuine dry-run / bad-input / rollback execution become possible. Re-attempting the dry-run before that capability exists reproduces this HOLD. Residual ⇒ future C1-DRYRUN-TRUE-READINESS-PATCH1.

authorization≠capability; spec≠registered artifact; absence-of-surface≠demonstrated-fail-closed; docs-channel write≠governed registration; no-sandbox⇒no isolated test write. Builds on [[project_c1_dryrun_execution_hold_test_sandbox_auth_or_runtime_missing_2026_06_22]].